Data current as of 2026-10-16 · Sourced from NOAA Storm Events
Over the past five years, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has recorded 29 hail storms within 25 miles of Carlisle, PA. Of those, 16 produced hail at least quarter-size — the threshold most insurance carriers consider potentially damaging to asphalt shingles. The largest reported hail in this window was ping pong ball-sized, which can fracture shingle mat and dent metal flashing on contact. 2023 was the most active year on record locally, with 12 documented hail events.
Check Hail History for a Specific Address in Carlisle| Severity | Count | What it means for roofs |
|---|---|---|
| Severe | 4 events | Ping pong-size, granule loss and bruising common |
| Significant | 12 events | Quarter-size, the standard insurance damage threshold |
| Moderate | 9 events | Marble-size, possible cosmetic damage |
| Minor | 4 events | Pea-size, unlikely to damage modern shingles |
| Year | Reported Hail Events Within 25 mi |
|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 events |
| 2025 | 1 event |
| 2024 | 5 events |
| 2023 | 12 events |
| 2022 | 1 event |
2023 was the busiest hail year on record locally for Carlisle, with 12 documented events inside the 25-mile radius. Storm activity in Carlisle typically peaks in spring and early summer, when the jet stream pushes Gulf moisture into the area and supercell thunderstorms become more frequent.
| Date | Location | Severity | Size | NOAA Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Marysville, PA | Moderate | 0.50" | Marble sized hail. |
| 2026-08-07 | 2 SE Carlisle Springs, PA | Moderate | 0.88" | — |
| 2026-06-14 | 2 E Carlisle, PA | Significant | 1.00" | — |
| 2026-06-14 | GETTYSBURG JCT, PA | Significant | 1.00" | A severe thunderstorm produced quarter-sized hail near Carlisle. |
| 2026-06-14 | 1 N Wertzville, PA | Significant | 1.00" | Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.). |
| 2026-06-14 | WERTZVILLE, PA | Significant | 1.00" | A severe thunderstorm produced quarter-sized hail near Wertzville. |
| 2026-05-13 | 2 SE Shermansdale, PA | Minor | 0.25" | — |
| 2026-03-03 | 1 WSW Steelton, PA | Minor | 0.12" | ASOS station KCXY Capitol City Airport. |
| 2026-03-03 | 1 ESE Highspire, PA | Minor | 0.08" | ASOS station KMDT Harrisburg Intl Airport. |
| 2026-03-03 | 1 WSW Steelton, PA | Minor | 0.12" | ASOS station KCXY Capitol City Airport. |
| 2025-05-16 | NEW BLOOMFIELD, PA | Significant | 1.00" | A severe thunderstorm produced quarter-sized hail near New Bloomfield. |
| 2024-09-21 | SHOPE GARDENS, PA | Moderate | 0.75" | A strong thunderstorm produced penny sized hail south of Chambers Hill. |
| 2024-09-21 | OAKLEIGH, PA | Moderate | 0.75" | A strong thunderstorm produced penny sized hail east of Progress. |
| 2024-09-21 | LENKER MANOR, PA | Moderate | 0.88" | A strong thunderstorm produced nickel sized hail on the northwest end of Rutherford. |
| 2024-04-15 | HEIDLERSBURG, PA | Moderate | 0.88" | A severe thunderstorm produced penny to nickel-sized hail near Heidlersburg. |
| 2024-04-15 | EAST BERLIN, PA | Significant | 1.25" | A severe thunderstorm produced ping-pong ball sized hail northwest of Abbottstown. |
| 2023-09-07 | BONNY BROOK, PA | Moderate | 0.75" | A thunderstorm produced penny-sized hail on the south end of Carlisle. |
| 2023-09-07 | DUNCANNON, PA | Significant | 1.00" | A severe thunderstorm produced quarter-sized hail on the north side of Duncannon. |
| 2023-08-04 | TRUST, PA | Severe | 1.50" | A severe thunderstorm produced ping pong ball sized hail at the Pine Ridge Campground on Shippensburg Road near the Adams/Cumberland County line. |
| 2023-08-04 | HEBERLIG, PA | Significant | 1.00" | A severe thunderstorm produced quarter-sized hail near Newburg. |
NOAA has recorded 141 high-wind events within 25 miles of Carlisle, PA in the past five years. Of those, 141 reached severe-thunderstorm thresholds (58+ mph). The highest measured gust was 110 mph.
| Severity | Count |
|---|---|
| Destructive | 2 events |
| Severe | 16 events |
| Significant | 123 events |
| Date | Location | Gust (mph) | Severity | NOAA Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | 2 SE Carlisle Springs, PA | 62 | Significant | — |
| 2026-07-19 | 1 WSW Middletown, PA | 61 | Significant | Measured wind gust of 61 mph at KMDT. |
| 2026-07-04 | Mount Holly Spring, PA | 69 | Severe | — |
| 2026-07-04 | 2 SE Carlisle Springs, PA | 61 | Significant | Time estimated from radar. |
| 2026-07-04 | 1 SE New Cumberland, PA | 63 | Significant | KCXY 55KT gust. |
| 2026-07-04 | 2 WSW Middletown, PA | 65 | Severe | KMDT 57KT Gust. |
| 2026-06-14 | GETTYSBURG JCT, PA | 64 | Severe | A severe thunderstorm producing wind gusts estimated between 60 and 70 mph knocked down numerous trees and wires east of Carlisle. |
| 2026-06-14 | 2 E Carlisle, PA | 65 | Severe | Phone lines and trees down along with 1 inch hail. |
| 2026-06-14 | INGLENOOK, PA | 70 | Severe | A severe thunderstorm producing wind gusts estimated at 70 mph knocked multiple trees down in Halifax township. |
| 2026-06-14 | INGLENOOK, PA | 60 | Significant | A severe thunderstorm producing wind gusts estimated at 60 mph knocked a tree down on Peters Mountain Road. |
| 2026-06-14 | PAXTONIA, PA | 60 | Significant | A severe thunderstorm producing wind gusts estimated at 60 mph knocked a tree down on Carolyn street. |
| 2026-06-14 | PERDIX, PA | 60 | Significant | A severe thunderstorm producing wind gusts estimated at 60 mph knocked down several trees near Valley Road and Brubeck Circle approximately 2 miles west of Marysville. |
| 2026-06-14 | SPEECEVILLE, PA | 100 | Destructive | An NWS damage survey found that a downburst occurred in Middle Paxton Township on the evening of June 14th, 2026. Damage was observed across a 2 mile wide area and peak winds were estimated to be 100 mph. Damage was first noted just north of Route 22 along the Susquehanna River, with multiple trees uprooted and snapped along Kathryn Avenue. Two trees damaged a fence and a shed as they fell. Over 100 trees were snapped or uprooted as the storm continued to track to the northeast over the next 5 minutes. Three large trees fell onto two cars and a home on Hecks Drive. No injuries were reported as a result of the storm. |
| 2026-06-14 | DAUPHIN, PA | 70 | Severe | A severe thunderstorm producing wind gusts estimated at 60 mph knocked a tree down onto a house in Middle Paxton Township. No injuries were reported. |
| 2026-06-11 | CARLISLE, PA | 60 | Significant | A line of severe thunderstorms producing wind gusts estimated at 60 mph knocked a tree down on Spring Road. |
| 2026-06-11 | MIDDLESEX, PA | 60 | Significant | A line of severe thunderstorms producing wind gusts estimated at 60 mph knocked wires down along Harrisburg Pike in Carlisle. |
| 2026-06-11 | WILA, PA | 60 | Significant | A line of severe thunderstorms producing wind gusts estimated at 60 mph knocked wires down near the intersection of Middle Ridge Road and Cemetery Road. |
| 2026-06-11 | ALINDA, PA | 60 | Significant | A line of severe thunderstorms producing wind gusts estimated at 60 mph knocked a tree down onto wires near Warm Springs Lodge, which blocked Warm Springs Road. |
| 2026-06-11 | (CXY)CAP CITY ARPT H, PA | 60 | Significant | A line of severe thunderstorms producing wind gusts estimated at 60 mph knocked a tree down into wires on Old Depot Road. |
| 2026-06-11 | NEWBERRYTOWN, PA | 60 | Significant | A line of severe thunderstorms producing wind gusts estimated at 60 mph knocked a tree down onto power lines on Fishing Creek Road. |
The most recent quarter-size-or-larger hail storm recorded by NOAA within 25 miles of Carlisle was on June 14, 2026. HailCheck refreshes from the NOAA Storm Events database daily, so newer events appear here as they are reported.
Carlisle averages roughly 6 reported hail events per year within a 25-mile radius. Significant storms (quarter-size or larger) account for 16 of the 29 events recorded over the last five years.
The largest documented hail near Carlisle in the last five years was ping pong ball-sized. Most Carlisle-area hail falls in the marble-to-quarter range, with destructive storms (egg-size or larger) appearing roughly once every few years.
Most homeowners insurance policies in PA cover hail damage to roofs, siding, and gutters under the dwelling and other-structures coverage. Coverage typically requires the damage to be tied to a verifiable storm date — which is where the NOAA hail history above (and a HAAG-style test square validation) becomes important for the claim file.
Use the HailCheck address search to enter any street address in or near Carlisle. HailCheck returns every NOAA hail event within a configurable radius, along with severity bands, dates, and storm narratives for Pro members.
If your property in or near Carlisle took on hail during one of the storms above, the standard process for documenting damage is a 10×10 foot test square inspection. A HAAG-trained reviewer counts impact indicators — granule displacement, mat fractures, and bruising — within the marked square and produces a PASS or FAIL document for the claim file.
HailCheck offers a $99 photo-based HAAG-style test square validation. You submit photos from the field, our reviewer evaluates the impact indicators and cross-references the NOAA storm dates listed above, and a written PASS/FAIL determination is returned within one business day. We do not send anyone to the roof — the validation is built around the photos you submit.
Learn About $99 HAAG-Style ValidationCarlisle sits east of the traditional hail alley, where hail events are less frequent than the central plains but tend to be associated with strong squall lines and tropical systems. Local roof systems are less commonly hardened for hail, which can mean even moderate impacts produce claim-worthy damage.