Data current as of 2026-10-16 · Sourced from NOAA Storm Events
Over the past five years, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has recorded 62 hail storms within 25 miles of Lorton, VA. Of those, 58 produced hail at least quarter-size — the threshold most insurance carriers consider potentially damaging to asphalt shingles. The largest reported hail in this window was egg-sized, which can fracture shingle mat and dent metal flashing on contact. 2024 was the most active year on record locally, with 23 documented hail events.
Check Hail History for a Specific Address in Lorton| Severity | Count | What it means for roofs |
|---|---|---|
| Destructive | 1 event | Egg-size, expect mat fractures and gutter damage |
| Severe | 4 events | Ping pong-size, granule loss and bruising common |
| Significant | 53 events | Quarter-size, the standard insurance damage threshold |
| Moderate | 4 events | Marble-size, possible cosmetic damage |
| Year | Reported Hail Events Within 25 mi |
|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 events |
| 2025 | 2 events |
| 2024 | 23 events |
| 2023 | 18 events |
| 2022 | 6 events |
2024 was the busiest hail year on record locally for Lorton, with 23 documented events inside the 25-mile radius. Storm activity in Lorton typically peaks in spring and early summer, when the jet stream pushes Gulf moisture into the area and supercell thunderstorms become more frequent.
| Date | Location | Severity | Size | NOAA Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | 1 SW Garrisonville, VA | Moderate | 0.75" | Dime size hail |
| 2026-06-14 | Ripley, MD | Significant | 1.25" | — |
| 2026-06-14 | PISGAH, MD | Significant | 1.25" | A trained spotter reported half dollar size hail near Ripley. |
| 2026-06-12 | THOROUGHFARE, VA | Moderate | 0.75" | A trained spotter reported penny size hail near Trevino and Championship Drive. |
| 2026-06-12 | 2 SSW Woolsey, VA | Moderate | 0.75" | Trained spotter reported penny-size hail near Trevino and Championship Drive. |
| 2026-05-27 | GAINESVILLE, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported in Gainesville. |
| 2026-05-27 | Gainesville, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail reported in Gainesville. |
| 2026-04-01 | 2 NW Manassas, VA | Moderate | 0.75" | — |
| 2026-04-01 | WEST GATE OF LOMOND, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported in the City of Manassas. |
| 2026-04-01 | Clifton, VA | Significant | 1.00" | — |
| 2026-04-01 | CLIFTON, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported in Clifton. |
| 2026-04-01 | 2 NW Manassas Park, VA | Significant | 1.00" | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Clifton, VA | Significant | 1.00" | — |
| 2025-05-16 | BAILEYS XRDS, VA | Significant | 1.25" | Half dollar size hail was reported in Bailey's Crossroads. |
| 2025-05-05 | TRIANGLE, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported near Triangle. |
| 2024-12-31 | MOUNTAIN VIEW, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported at Northern Stafford High School. |
| 2024-12-31 | GARRISONVILLE, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported off VA-642 Barrett Heights Road. |
| 2024-08-29 | HERNDON, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported in Herndon. |
| 2024-08-29 | BROAD RUN FARMS, VA | Severe | 1.75" | There were multiple reports of golf ball size hail near Sterling Park. |
| 2024-08-29 | BROAD RUN FARMS, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported in the 100 block of Cardinal Glen Circle. |
NOAA has recorded 500 high-wind events within 25 miles of Lorton, VA in the past five years. Of those, 496 reached severe-thunderstorm thresholds (58+ mph). The highest measured gust was 90 mph.
| Severity | Count |
|---|---|
| Severe | 139 events |
| Significant | 357 events |
| Moderate | 4 events |
| Date | Location | Gust (mph) | Severity | NOAA Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 1 SSE Arcola, VA | 62 | Significant | Elaine E. Thompson Elementary School (NGA65) gusted to 62 mph at 11:30 pm. |
| 2026-09-04 | Reagan National Aiirpor, VA | 64 | Severe | DCA also gusted to 64 mph. |
| 2026-09-04 | Ballston, VA | 71 | Severe | Sustained wind of 50 knots (58 MPH) with peak gust of 62 knots (71 MPH) at a personal weather station in Ballston (KVAARLIN3) |
| 2026-09-04 | 1 WSW Catholic Universi, DC | 62 | Significant | Wind gust of 62 mph measured on Lamont St NW (KDCWASHI300 PWS) |
| 2026-09-04 | Reagan National Aiirpor, VA | 59 | Significant | DCA gusted to 59 mph at 11:47 pm. |
| 2026-09-04 | Reagan National Arpt, VA | 64 | Severe | Measured wind gust of 64 mph at DCA. |
| 2026-09-04 | 1 NNW Tysons Corner, VA | 69 | Severe | Wind gust of 69 mph measured on Tyco Rd in Tysons (KVAVIENN164 PWS) |
| 2026-09-04 | 1 SW National Arboretum, DC | 63 | Significant | Wind gust of 63 mph measured on D St NE (KDCWASHI556 PWS) |
| 2026-07-28 | Riverdale, MD | 58 | Significant | A wind gust of 50 knots (58 MPH) was measured by a mesonet in Riverdale (AU722/KB3PHD). |
| 2026-07-28 | Riverdale, MD | 58 | Significant | A wind gust of 50 knots (58 MPH) was measured by a mesonet in Riverdale (AU722/KB3PHD). |
| 2026-07-04 | Quantico Marine Corp, VA | 61 | Significant | A wind gust of 53 knots (61 MPH) was measured by the AWOS at Quantico Marine Base (KNYG). |
| 2026-06-26 | IRONSIDES, MD | 60 | Significant | A tree blew down onto a power line at the intersection of Smallwood Church Road and Mason Springs Road. |
| 2026-06-26 | HOOES, VA | 60 | Significant | A tree blew down near the intersection of Osprey Road and Mathias Point Road. |
| 2026-06-22 | WIDEWATER, VA | 70 | Severe | Dozens of trees blew down in the vicinity of Widewater. |
| 2026-06-22 | RUBY, VA | 64 | Severe | Numerous trees blew down along Tacketts Mill Road, including one that fell onto a home. |
| 2026-06-22 | ADEN, VA | 64 | Severe | Numerous trees and powerlines blew down in and around Aden. |
| 2026-06-22 | PORT TOBACCO, MD | 70 | Severe | There were at least a dozen reports of tree damage near Port Tobacco. |
| 2026-06-22 | BETHEL, VA | 64 | Severe | Numerous trees and powerlines blew down in and around Dale City. |
| 2026-06-22 | MC CONCHIE, MD | 60 | Significant | A tree blew down at Poorhouse Road and Route 6. |
| 2026-06-22 | Quantico Marine Corp, VA | 69 | Severe | — |
The most recent quarter-size-or-larger hail storm recorded by NOAA within 25 miles of Lorton was on June 14, 2026. HailCheck refreshes from the NOAA Storm Events database daily, so newer events appear here as they are reported.
Lorton averages roughly 12 reported hail events per year within a 25-mile radius. Significant storms (quarter-size or larger) account for 58 of the 62 events recorded over the last five years.
The largest documented hail near Lorton in the last five years was egg-sized. Most Lorton-area hail falls in the marble-to-quarter range, with destructive storms (egg-size or larger) appearing roughly once every few years.
Most homeowners insurance policies in VA cover hail damage to roofs, siding, and gutters under the dwelling and other-structures coverage. Coverage typically requires the damage to be tied to a verifiable storm date — which is where the NOAA hail history above (and a HAAG-style test square validation) becomes important for the claim file.
Use the HailCheck address search to enter any street address in or near Lorton. HailCheck returns every NOAA hail event within a configurable radius, along with severity bands, dates, and storm narratives for Pro members.
If your property in or near Lorton took on hail during one of the storms above, the standard process for documenting damage is a 10×10 foot test square inspection. A HAAG-trained reviewer counts impact indicators — granule displacement, mat fractures, and bruising — within the marked square and produces a PASS or FAIL document for the claim file.
HailCheck offers a $99 photo-based HAAG-style test square validation. You submit photos from the field, our reviewer evaluates the impact indicators and cross-references the NOAA storm dates listed above, and a written PASS/FAIL determination is returned within one business day. We do not send anyone to the roof — the validation is built around the photos you submit.
Learn About $99 HAAG-Style ValidationLorton sits east of the traditional hail alley, where hail events are less frequent than the central plains but tend to be associated with strong squall lines and tropical systems. Local roof systems are less commonly hardened for hail, which can mean even moderate impacts produce claim-worthy damage.