Data current as of 2026-10-16 · Sourced from NOAA Storm Events
Over the past five years, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has recorded 22 hail storms within 25 miles of Fredericksburg, VA. Of those, 20 produced hail at least quarter-size — the threshold most insurance carriers consider potentially damaging to asphalt shingles. The largest reported hail in this window was baseball-sized or larger, which can fracture shingle mat and dent metal flashing on contact. 2023 was the most active year on record locally, with 9 documented hail events.
Check Hail History for a Specific Address in Fredericksburg| Severity | Count | What it means for roofs |
|---|---|---|
| Catastrophic | 1 event | Baseball+ size, structural roof damage likely |
| Destructive | 1 event | Egg-size, expect mat fractures and gutter damage |
| Severe | 4 events | Ping pong-size, granule loss and bruising common |
| Significant | 14 events | Quarter-size, the standard insurance damage threshold |
| Moderate | 2 events | Marble-size, possible cosmetic damage |
| Year | Reported Hail Events Within 25 mi |
|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 events |
| 2025 | 1 event |
| 2024 | 4 events |
| 2023 | 9 events |
2023 was the busiest hail year on record locally for Fredericksburg, with 9 documented events inside the 25-mile radius. Storm activity in Fredericksburg typically peaks in spring and early summer, when the jet stream pushes Gulf moisture into the area and supercell thunderstorms become more frequent.
| Date | Location | Severity | Size | NOAA Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | 1 NNW Golansville, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail reported near Lake Caroline by 911 center. |
| 2026-07-27 | 1 NE Ruther Glen, VA | Moderate | 0.75" | Report from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.). |
| 2026-07-27 | Richardsville, VA | Significant | 1.00" | — |
| 2026-07-27 | Chilesburg, VA | Severe | 1.75" | Delayed report of Golf ball sized hail in Chilesburg. |
| 2026-07-27 | 1 SW Garrisonville, VA | Moderate | 0.75" | Dime size hail |
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Walker, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Report of estimated 1 inch hail via trained spotter. |
| 2026-07-04 | 3 NW Glenora, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported in Lake Anna State Park. |
| 2026-07-04 | 3 NW Corbin, VA | Significant | 1.25" | — |
| 2025-05-05 | TRIANGLE, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported near Triangle. |
| 2024-12-31 | MOUNTAIN VIEW, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported at Northern Stafford High School. |
| 2024-12-31 | GARRISONVILLE, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported off VA-642 Barrett Heights Road. |
| 2024-08-29 | HOLLY CORNER, VA | Significant | 1.25" | Half dollar size hail was reported near the intersection of VA-655 Holly Corner Road and Country Manor Drive. |
| 2024-04-15 | MOUNTAIN VIEW, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported near Garrisonville. |
| 2023-08-07 | HOLLADAY, VA | Severe | 1.75" | Golf ball size hail was reported near Lake Anna State Park. |
| 2023-08-07 | ETTA, VA | Destructive | 2.75" | Baseball size hail was reported. |
| 2023-08-07 | UPPER ZION, VA | Catastrophic | 4.00" | Softball size hail was reported near Fort A.P. Hill. The hail stone was measured approximately 15 minutes after the hail core passed over this location. A picture from another spotter corroborated the increased hail size. |
| 2023-08-07 | UPPER ZION, VA | Severe | 1.75" | Golf ball size hail was reported near Fort A.P. Hill. |
| 2023-06-16 | FREDERICKSBURG, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported on the west side of the City of Fredericksburg. |
| 2023-06-16 | RICHARDSVILLE, VA | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter size hail was reported near Dunavant. |
| 2023-06-16 | FLATRUN, VA | Severe | 1.75" | Half dollar to golf ball size hail was reported in Flat Run. |
NOAA has recorded 242 high-wind events within 25 miles of Fredericksburg, VA in the past five years. Of those, 242 reached severe-thunderstorm thresholds (58+ mph). The highest measured gust was 90 mph.
| Severity | Count |
|---|---|
| Severe | 36 events |
| Significant | 206 events |
| Date | Location | Gust (mph) | Severity | NOAA Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 2 NNW Glenora, VA | 60 | Significant | A wind gust of 52 knots (60 MPH) was measured by a personal weather station near Lake Anna (KVASPOTS70). |
| 2026-07-28 | Fredericksburg, VA | 67 | Severe | A wind gust of 58 knots (67 MPH) was measured by the AWOS at Shannon Field (KEZF). |
| 2026-07-04 | Quantico Marine Corp, VA | 61 | Significant | A wind gust of 53 knots (61 MPH) was measured by the AWOS at Quantico Marine Base (KNYG). |
| 2026-06-26 | DOGUE, VA | 60 | Significant | A tree blew down near the intersection of Cleve Drive and Port Conway Road. |
| 2026-06-26 | IRONSIDES, MD | 60 | Significant | A tree blew down onto a power line at the intersection of Smallwood Church Road and Mason Springs Road. |
| 2026-06-26 | HOOES, VA | 60 | Significant | A tree blew down near the intersection of Osprey Road and Mathias Point Road. |
| 2026-06-22 | KELLYS FORD, VA | 64 | Severe | Numerous trees and powerlines blew down east of Culpeper to the Fauquier County line. |
| 2026-06-22 | LADYSMITH, VA | 58 | Significant | The 911 call center reported numerous trees down in the Ladysmith area of Caroline County. |
| 2026-06-22 | FREDERICKSBURG, VA | 60 | Significant | Trees blew down in the 500 block of Caroline Street, and in the 3300 block of Plank Road. |
| 2026-06-22 | WIDEWATER, VA | 70 | Severe | Dozens of trees blew down in the vicinity of Widewater. |
| 2026-06-22 | FARMERS, VA | 58 | Significant | The 911 call center reported multiple trees down between Bowling Green and Port Royal. |
| 2026-06-22 | RUBY, VA | 64 | Severe | Numerous trees blew down along Tacketts Mill Road, including one that fell onto a home. |
| 2026-06-22 | BETHEL, VA | 64 | Severe | Numerous trees and powerlines blew down in and around Dale City. |
| 2026-06-22 | Quantico Marine Corp, VA | 69 | Severe | — |
| 2026-06-14 | MASSAPONAX, VA | 60 | Significant | Several trees blew down near Thornburg. |
| 2026-06-14 | FARMERS, VA | 58 | Significant | A tree fell down onto a car along Highway 301. |
| 2026-06-14 | SHILOH, VA | 60 | Significant | Trees blew down in the 13300 block of Round Hill Road. |
| 2026-06-14 | SYLVANIA HGTS, VA | 60 | Significant | Multiple trees blew down across southern Spotsylvania County. |
| 2026-06-12 | RICHARDSVILLE, VA | 60 | Significant | A tree blew down at Richards Ferry Road and Beach Road. |
| 2026-06-12 | LADYSMITH, VA | 58 | Significant | Large tree branches were down onto Ladysmith Road at US-1. |
The most recent quarter-size-or-larger hail storm recorded by NOAA within 25 miles of Fredericksburg was on July 27, 2026. HailCheck refreshes from the NOAA Storm Events database daily, so newer events appear here as they are reported.
Fredericksburg averages roughly 4 reported hail events per year within a 25-mile radius. Significant storms (quarter-size or larger) account for 20 of the 22 events recorded over the last five years.
The largest documented hail near Fredericksburg in the last five years was baseball-sized or larger. Most Fredericksburg-area hail falls in the marble-to-quarter range, with destructive storms (egg-size or larger) appearing roughly once every few years.
Most homeowners insurance policies in VA cover hail damage to roofs, siding, and gutters under the dwelling and other-structures coverage. Coverage typically requires the damage to be tied to a verifiable storm date — which is where the NOAA hail history above (and a HAAG-style test square validation) becomes important for the claim file.
Use the HailCheck address search to enter any street address in or near Fredericksburg. HailCheck returns every NOAA hail event within a configurable radius, along with severity bands, dates, and storm narratives for Pro members.
If your property in or near Fredericksburg took on hail during one of the storms above, the standard process for documenting damage is a 10×10 foot test square inspection. A HAAG-trained reviewer counts impact indicators — granule displacement, mat fractures, and bruising — within the marked square and produces a PASS or FAIL document for the claim file.
HailCheck offers a $99 photo-based HAAG-style test square validation. You submit photos from the field, our reviewer evaluates the impact indicators and cross-references the NOAA storm dates listed above, and a written PASS/FAIL determination is returned within one business day. We do not send anyone to the roof — the validation is built around the photos you submit.
Learn About $99 HAAG-Style ValidationFredericksburg sits east of the traditional hail alley, where hail events are less frequent than the central plains but tend to be associated with strong squall lines and tropical systems. Local roof systems are less commonly hardened for hail, which can mean even moderate impacts produce claim-worthy damage.