Data current as of 2026-10-16 · Sourced from NOAA Storm Events
Over the past five years, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has recorded 45 hail storms within 25 miles of Chapel Hill, NC. Of those, 38 produced hail at least quarter-size — the threshold most insurance carriers consider potentially damaging to asphalt shingles. The largest reported hail in this window was ping pong ball-sized, which can fracture shingle mat and dent metal flashing on contact. 2026 was the most active year on record locally, with 16 documented hail events.
Check Hail History for a Specific Address in Chapel Hill| Severity | Count | What it means for roofs |
|---|---|---|
| Severe | 6 events | Ping pong-size, granule loss and bruising common |
| Significant | 32 events | Quarter-size, the standard insurance damage threshold |
| Moderate | 7 events | Marble-size, possible cosmetic damage |
| Year | Reported Hail Events Within 25 mi |
|---|---|
| 2026 | 16 events |
| 2025 | 6 events |
| 2024 | 1 event |
| 2023 | 10 events |
| 2022 | 12 events |
2026 was the busiest hail year on record locally for Chapel Hill, with 16 documented events inside the 25-mile radius. Storm activity in Chapel Hill typically peaks in spring and early summer, when the jet stream pushes Gulf moisture into the area and supercell thunderstorms become more frequent.
| Date | Location | Severity | Size | NOAA Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | 3 NW Lake Wheeler, NC | Significant | 1.00" | 1 inch hail reported. |
| 2026-07-08 | 4 S New Hill, NC | Significant | 1.00" | Picture of hail up to quarter size near Silent Cove Lane. |
| 2026-07-08 | 3 E Cary, NC | Significant | 1.00" | Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.). |
| 2026-07-08 | 3 NNW Lake Wheeler, NC | Significant | 1.00" | Hail up to quarter sized near the intersection of Southeast Cary Parkway and Holly Springs Road. |
| 2026-07-08 | 4 N Lake Wheeler, NC | Significant | 1.25" | Hail up to half dollar size. |
| 2026-04-30 | 2 N Carrboro, NC | Moderate | 0.50" | mPING report of half inch hail on Wyndham Dr. |
| 2026-04-30 | 1 SW Carrboro, NC | Significant | 1.00" | Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.). |
| 2026-04-30 | 1 S Carrboro, NC | Significant | 1.00" | One inch hail measured near Carrboro. |
| 2026-04-30 | 3 SW Mebane, NC | Significant | 1.25" | Picture passed along via social media shows a hail stone ranging from 1 to 1.5 inches. Time and approximate location estimated from radar. |
| 2026-04-30 | Mebane, NC | Significant | 1.00" | — |
| 2026-04-30 | 2 S Mebane, NC | Moderate | 0.75" | mPING report of dime sized hail near the 3900 block along Long Meadow Drive. |
| 2026-04-29 | CHAPEL HILL, NC | Significant | 1.00" | One inch hail was reported near Chapel Hill. |
| 2026-04-29 | CHAPEL HILL, NC | Significant | 1.00" | One inch hail was measured near Carrboro. |
| 2026-04-29 | MEBANE HURDLE FLD AR, NC | Moderate | 0.75" | Dime size hail was reported near the 3900 block along Long Meadow Drive in Mebane. |
| 2026-04-29 | MEBANE HURDLE FLD AR, NC | Significant | 1.25" | Broadcast media report shows 1.25 to 1.5 inch hail in the town of Mebane. |
| 2026-04-29 | MEBANE, NC | Significant | 1.00" | Quarter-inch hail was reported in the town of Mebane. |
| 2025-05-05 | LOWES GROVE, NC | Moderate | 0.75" | — |
| 2025-04-22 | TERRELLS, NC | Severe | 1.50" | Ping pong ball size hail was reported near the intersection of Chicken Bridge Rd and NC Highway 87 north. |
| 2025-04-22 | SILK HOPE, NC | Significant | 1.00" | Broadcast media reported quarter size hail in the town of Silk Hope. |
| 2025-04-22 | MORRISVILLE, NC | Severe | 1.50" | Ping pong ball size hail was reported near the intersection of Evans Rd and Aviation Parkway. |
NOAA has recorded 299 high-wind events within 25 miles of Chapel Hill, NC in the past five years. Of those, 298 reached severe-thunderstorm thresholds (58+ mph). The highest measured gust was 76 mph.
| Severity | Count |
|---|---|
| Severe | 3 events |
| Significant | 295 events |
| Moderate | 1 event |
| Date | Location | Gust (mph) | Severity | NOAA Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 2 N Rdu International, NC | 45 | Moderate | ASOS station KRDU Raleigh Durham. |
| 2026-06-27 | HOLLY SPGS, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree fell on power lines near South Main Street and West Elm Avenue. |
| 2026-06-27 | HOLLEMANS XRDS, NC | 58 | Significant | Power outages were caused by downed trees near the intersection of Avent Ferry Road and New Hill Holleman Road. |
| 2026-06-26 | SILK HOPE, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree was reported down. Power outages were also reported in the area. |
| 2026-06-22 | CALVANDER, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree was reported down near the intersection of North Carolina Highway 54 West and Hatch Road. |
| 2026-06-22 | GLENN, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree was reported down on power lines near the intersection of Mount Sinai Road and Kerley Road. |
| 2026-06-22 | OCCONEECHEE, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree was reported down near intersection of Joseph Mary Court and Old North Carolina Highway 10. |
| 2026-06-22 | MC DADE, NC | 58 | Significant | A power pole was reported down near the 7100 block of Caviness Jordan Road. |
| 2026-06-22 | MEBANE, NC | 58 | Significant | Four hundred customers were without power, caused by fallen trees damaging equipment. |
| 2026-06-22 | SCHLEY, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree was reported down near the 5500 block of Saint Marys Road. |
| 2026-06-22 | SCHLEY, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree was reported down near intersection of Guess Road and Jameson Road. |
| 2026-06-22 | WEST DURHAM, NC | 58 | Significant | Power outages were reported, caused by fallen trees damaging equipment. |
| 2026-06-22 | HUCKLEBERRY SPG, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree was reported down near the intersection of North Carolina Highway 751 and Hillsborough Road. |
| 2026-05-27 | GULF, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree was down on power lines on the 200 block of Everette Dowdy Road. |
| 2026-04-29 | CALVANDER, NC | 58 | Significant | Several hundred power outages were reported from trees down on powerlines. |
| 2026-04-29 | FARRINGTON, NC | 58 | Significant | One thousand power outages were reported from trees on powerlines. |
| 2026-04-29 | FARRINGTON, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree was reported down near the intersection of New Hope Church Road and Indian Creek Lane. |
| 2026-03-16 | SEAFORTH, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree was reported down at Pea Ridge Road and Beaver Creek Road. |
| 2026-03-16 | SILK HOPE, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree was reported down on Woody Store Road. |
| 2026-03-16 | TERRELLS, NC | 58 | Significant | A tree was reported down at Tobacco Road and Lamont Norwood Road. |
The most recent quarter-size-or-larger hail storm recorded by NOAA within 25 miles of Chapel Hill was on July 8, 2026. HailCheck refreshes from the NOAA Storm Events database daily, so newer events appear here as they are reported.
Chapel Hill averages roughly 9 reported hail events per year within a 25-mile radius. Significant storms (quarter-size or larger) account for 38 of the 45 events recorded over the last five years.
The largest documented hail near Chapel Hill in the last five years was ping pong ball-sized. Most Chapel Hill-area hail falls in the marble-to-quarter range, with destructive storms (egg-size or larger) appearing roughly once every few years.
Most homeowners insurance policies in NC cover hail damage to roofs, siding, and gutters under the dwelling and other-structures coverage. Coverage typically requires the damage to be tied to a verifiable storm date — which is where the NOAA hail history above (and a HAAG-style test square validation) becomes important for the claim file.
Use the HailCheck address search to enter any street address in or near Chapel Hill. HailCheck returns every NOAA hail event within a configurable radius, along with severity bands, dates, and storm narratives for Pro members.
If your property in or near Chapel Hill took on hail during one of the storms above, the standard process for documenting damage is a 10×10 foot test square inspection. A HAAG-trained reviewer counts impact indicators — granule displacement, mat fractures, and bruising — within the marked square and produces a PASS or FAIL document for the claim file.
HailCheck offers a $99 photo-based HAAG-style test square validation. You submit photos from the field, our reviewer evaluates the impact indicators and cross-references the NOAA storm dates listed above, and a written PASS/FAIL determination is returned within one business day. We do not send anyone to the roof — the validation is built around the photos you submit.
Learn About $99 HAAG-Style ValidationChapel Hill sits east of the traditional hail alley, where hail events are less frequent than the central plains but tend to be associated with strong squall lines and tropical systems. Local roof systems are less commonly hardened for hail, which can mean even moderate impacts produce claim-worthy damage.